Q1-2018-OfficeReport
Q1
OFFICE STATISTICS SUBURBAN
2018
SUBURBAN
TOTAL INVENTORY (SF)
TOTAL VACANT (SF)
TOTAL VACANCY RATE
Q1 NET ABSORPTION (SF)
YTD NET ABSORPTION (SF)
Class A
59,081,606
7,958,514
13.5%
(246,271)
(246,271)
Vacancy
Class B
54,823,798
8,856,567
16.2%
85,355
85,355
2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017
1,500
17%
CLASS A & B TOTAL
113,905,404
16,815,081
14.8%
(160,916)
(160,916)
1,000
16%
VACANCY & NET ABSORPTION 500
15%
TRENDS • Suburban office vacancies spiked in the first quarter of 2018 as Reebok’s former headquarters hit the leasing market. Barring this event, market conditions have otherwise been positive with expansions coming from owner-users and in-place tenants. While office-users continue to migrate towards urban locales, demand for build-to-suits has helped drive activity in Boston’s suburban markets. Similar to Downtown, rents continue to rise, but growth is waning. Looking ahead, the suburbs will remain on solid footing despite continued migration to the urban center. Pockets along Route 495 may continue to contend with higher-than- average vacancies and struggle with lease-up, but adaptive reuse projects could help mitigate these risks. • The sale of Reebok’s former headquarters in Canton following its recent relocation to Boston’s Seaport neighborhood generated several hundred thousand square feet of negative absorption in the Route 128 South office market this quarter. Spear Street Capital purchased the 600,000+-square-foot campus for $88 million or $129 per square foot. While this site presents an interesting redevelopment opportunity, the new owner is planning to lease out the space. • Move-ins from Raytheon, Digital Federal Credit Union, Digital Guardian, and ServiceNow contributed to strong net absorption in markets like Route 128 West and Route 495 North. In addition to the Reebok space, Comverse Technology also vacated roughly 78,000 square feet at 200 Quannapowitt Parkway in Wakefield this quarter. • Office users are flocking to build-to-suit construction in Boston’s suburbs. Following Simpson Gumpertz & Heger’s 110,000-square-foot lease at the soon-to-be-built 20 CityPlace in Waltham, Alkermes recently confirmed its plans for growth. The drugmaker inked a deal for more than 200,000 square feet of new office space in Waltham; expanding its footprint to nearly 400,000 square feet here by 2020. Agero, Inc. also signed a lease for 115,000 square feet for a new headquarters at River’s Edge in Medford. The roadside assistance company will relocate from nearby One Cabot Road. Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 • Asking rents have been expanding rapidly in select suburban submarkets, but overall growth will likely wane as this current cycle matures. Demand for space within Route 128 and the Inner Suburbs has led to above-average gains over the past three years, with cumulative rent growth reaching 20-30% in some submarkets. Speculative construction in key markets, like Route 128 West, has also been driving higher rents. Average suburban asking rents are nearing $25.50/ SF in the first quarter — a 6% increase from year-ago levels. Lease rates were essentially flat compared to the fourth quarter, however.
1,500 0
17%
14%
1,000
16%
-50
13%
-1,000
12%
500
15%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Absorption
Vacancy
0
14%
-500
13%
-1,000
12%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Net Absorption
Vacancy
SUBURBAN RENTS Suburban Rents
10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
$10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40
Asking Rent ($/SF) 0% 5%
$0 $5
tion
,271) $28.86 ,355 $22.42 ,916) $25.43
InnerSuburbs
Route 128 West
Route 495 West
Route 128 North
Route 495 North
Route 128 South
Route 495 South
Framingham-Natick
Route 128 Northwest Rent Growth (2014-Q1 2018)
Current Rent
Route 495 Northeast
NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS Notable Transactions
Alkermes
Agero, Inc.
Everbridge
Collegium Pharmaceuticals
MKS Instruments
25K SF
75K SF
125K SF
175K SF
225K SF
Route 128 West Inner Suburbs Route 128 Northwest Route 128 South Router 495 Northeast
6
rket conditions have otherwise
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